Markets

Graded by infrastructure spend, population, lender access, and actual flip/rental data flowing through Reflip.

Target markets

Philadelphia, PA

Gray Ferry science research lab breaks ground 2026; ~6-yr build. University City spillover. Lower entry prices than NYC/Boston with similar institutional anchor.

A
Pop.
1.6M
Median home
$248K
Median rent
$1.7K
Jobs +12mo
23.4K
Neighborhoods
Gray FerryA
31% flip ROI · 7.8% cap · 28 DOM
Anchor catalyst. Cosmetic flips clearing in <30 days; rentals supported by grad-student + lab-staff demand starting year 3.
Science research lab 2026Schuylkill yards spillover
BrewerytownA-
27% flip ROI · 7.2% cap · 34 DOM
Mid-cycle gentrification. Inventory tightening; competition with small developers building 2-3 unit condos.
Girard Ave revivalTrolley corridor
GermantownB+
24% flip ROI · 8.4% cap · 41 DOM
Better for buy-and-hold than flips. Strong FMR support; voucher absorption near 100%.
Vernon Park redevSection 8 demand stable
South Philly (Point Breeze / Newbold)A-
29% flip ROI · 6.9% cap · 30 DOM
Tight comp pull; rowhouse flips clearing well. Permit timeline 6–8 weeks is the real constraint.
Broad St corridorRestaurant density

Houston, TX

Population + jobs growth. No state income tax pulling capital. Inventory still loose enough to flip on margin.

B+
Pop.
2.3M
Median home
$278K
Median rent
$1.8K
Jobs +12mo
88K

Tampa, FL

Migration + jobs continue. Insurance cost is the constraint — flippers underwriting carries.

B+
Pop.
412K
Median home
$412K
Median rent
$2.1K
Jobs +12mo
41K

Monitoring

Chicago, IL

Population flat, but pockets like Pilsen/Bronzeville still flipping. Property tax volatility is the risk.

B

Excluded

Boston, MA
Excluded
C

Saturation. Entry price too high vs ARV ceiling. No margin to flip; rentals carry but yield compressed.

Detroit, MI
Excluded
D

Bank lending nearly absent; cash-only market kills the model.

Baltimore, MD
Excluded
D

Same as Detroit — institutional lending pulled back. Cash only.

Static demo · part of thinkingslightly.com · no real deals shown